FXUS63 KOAX 012019
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
319 PM CDT FRI OCT 1 2010
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE
PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN THROUGH MONDAY.
AT 20Z...THE PRE-FRONTAL TROF WAS NEAR WAYNE WITH THE COLD FRONT
SOUTH OF HURON. THE TEMPS NEAR THE TROF ARE IN THE LOW 80S...AND
BEHIND THE FNT ARE IN THE LOWER 60S. SOME PATCHY MID CLOUDS WERE
NOTED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WITH AN AREA OF MID LAYER CIGS AND
LIGHT RAIN OVER SRN MN AND PATCHY LOWER CLDS FARTHER WEST. SOME
SPRINKLES AND LIGHT RAIN WERE NOTED OVER SRN MN.
TONIGHT...THE COLD FNT MOVES ACRS THE FCST AREA THIS EVENING WITH
INCREASING CLOUDS AND INCREASING NORTH WINDS. THERE MAY BE SOME
SPRINKLES IN CNTRL IA...HAVE INCREASING CLDS IN OUR ERN NEB/WRN
IA COUNTIES AND A DRY FCST. THE WINDS AND CLDS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF
THE NORTH FIRST...SO HAVE LOWS IN THE UPR 30S NORTH. FARTHER SOUTH
TEMPS SHOULD BE IN THE 40S. SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MAY
MIX DOWN IN THE LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH.
HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN FOR SAT AND WILL BE CENTERED OVER IOWA
INTO THE MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY SUN MORNING. HIGHS SATURDAY SHOULD
ONLY BE IN THE 60S AND THERE MAY BE A FEW CU...ESPECIALLY IN WRN IA.
SUNDAY MORNING...CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES SHOULD SET THE STAGE
FOR COLD TEMPERATURES. HAVE A FEW LOCALLY COLD SPOTS HITTING
32...WITH OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE MID 30S. HAVE AREAS AND PATCHY
FROST MENTIONED.
WITH THE COLD START...HIGHS ON SUNDAY SHOULD AGAIN BE IN THE 60S AND
MONDAY MORNING LOWS SHOULD RANGES FROM THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. THE
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM PULLS FAR ENOUGH EAST MONDAY TO WARM
INTO THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.
.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
QUIET AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD AS AN UPPER
RIDGE REMAINS PARKED ACROSS THE PLAINS. A COOL FRONT IS STILL PROGGED
TO MAKE AN ATTEMPT AT MOVING INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT APPEARS RETREAT TO THE NORTH RATHER QUICKLY
BY THURSDAY. WAS NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO MENTION A CHANCE OF RAIN
WITH THE FRONT THOUGH...BUT DID WARM TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
MID/UPPER 70S BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS TO
THE AREA.
&&
.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS
STILL EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH VARIABLE MID
LEVEL CLOUDINESS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TAF
SITES BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z...WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO NORTH. COULD HAVE
SOME GUSTS IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE. SOME CLOUDS IN THE 2500 TO 4000
FOOT AGL LAYER POSSIBLE AFTER 06Z...BUT NO CEILINGS FORECAST WITH
THOSE AT THIS TIME.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$
ZAPOTOCNY/DEWALD/MILLER