FXUS63 KOAX 040925
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
325 AM CST SAT DEC 4 2010
.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. NO
BIG CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE
TO BUFFET THE AREA THIS MORNING...BUT ARE NOT QUITE AS STRONG AS
EARLIER WHEN PRESSURE RISES GAVE WINDS A BOOST. COLD HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER NRN MT WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD SEWD ACROSS THE NRN AND
CNTRL PLAINS TODAY. SOME FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE NRN AND NERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY...BUT THAT IS ABOUT IT. CHANCE FOR ANY
MEASURABLE PCPN SEEMS LOW. TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING ARE ABOUT
AS WARM AS THEY WILL BE ALL DAY FOR MOST OF THE AREA. CLOUDS SHOULD
DECREASE SOME TONIGHT AS THE HIGH CONTINUES TO BUILD IN.
A BAND OF SNOW MAY SETUP TONIGHT AS LAST INTO SUNDAY MORNING...WELL
OFF TO OUR WEST FROM WY INTO PARTS OF SWRN NE. OTHERWISE MUCH OF THE
REGION SHOULD BE DRY INTO AT LEAST TUESDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW
NORMAL. 500 MB RIDGE WILL TRY TO BUILD EWD FROM THE ROCKIES OUT INTO
THE PLAINS AND FLOW PATTERN WILL BECOME A BIT MORE ZONAL TOWARD THE
MID PART OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR A SLIGHT MODERATION OF
TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY...AND THEN POSSIBLY TO A
LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL THURSDAY. IT APPEARS SOME SNOW COULD DEVELOP TO
OUR NORTH AND EAST FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. COULD ALSO BE
SOME FOR OUR AREA TOWARD FRIDAY...BUT MODELS ARE NOT IN VERY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THAT SO WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AND
ADJUST IF NEEDED.
&&
.AVIATION...
TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK
06Z TAFS
AVIATION FORECAST CONCERNS WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS EARLY ON
AND MVFR CIGS.
THE COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH DURING THE EVENING AND GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS AT 15 TO 25KTS WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30KTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MID AFTERNOON THEN DECREASE TO 12KTS OR LESS BY 00Z.
THE H85 CIRCULATION OVER MN WILL TRACK INTO NRN IL. THERE IS SOME
PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE TOWARD FSD AND NW IA ALONG WITH IFR CIGS.
FARTHER WEST...THE CIGS ARE VARIABLE...AND WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE
CIGS AND PRECIP TYPE...BUT EXPECT MVFR CIGS TO BE MORE PREVALENT AT
THE TAF SITES. FLURRIES MAY ALSO TRY TO DEVELOP AS THE COLD AIR
DEEPENS...BUT WILL NOT MENTION AT THIS TIME AS MAY REMAIN TO THE
NORTH. THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...HOWEVER
AFTER 21Z-00Z SHOULD SEE IMPROVEMENT IN CIGS AND FOR NOW HAVE THEM
LIFTING TO VFR AS SFC HIGH PRES BUILDS IN.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...MILLER
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY