Area Forecast Discussion Thursday, December 16, 2010

FXUS63 KOAX 160819
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
219 AM CST THU DEC 16 2010

.DISCUSSION...

FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
CLOUD COVER AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

PRECIPITATION HAS FINALLY MOVED OUT OF THE CWA WITH NORTHERN
PLAINS UPPER LOW MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE DAKOTAS AND INTO
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
ARE BEGINNING TO PUSH THROUGH AS GRADIENT INCREASES AS THE LOW
GRAZES THE AREA BUT NOTHING INTO THE BREEZY CATEGORY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
WL LIKELY PERSIST THRU MUCH OF THE DAY AS FAIRLY EXTENSIVE DECK
FROM THE DAKOTAS EXTENDS SWD INTO ERN KS DRIFTS SEWD.

FAIRLY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AREA BUILDS IN OVER THE WEEKEND WHICH
SHOULD KEEP WEATHER QUIET. BY SUNDAY...WEAK WAA PATTERN SETS UP
AND 00Z GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE SOME LIGHT PCPN OVER THE AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON. HAVE INCREASED POPS FOR OVERNIGHT SUNDAY AND
INTO MONDAY AS 00Z GFS/ECMWF HAVE COME INTO SLIGHTLY BETTER
AGREEMENT ON SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS. GFS LOOKS
STRONGER WITH THIS FEATURE AND IS THUS MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH PCPN.
EVENT LOOKS TO MAINLY AFFECT OUR NRN COUNTIES AS WAVE QUICKLY
PASSES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION...

TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK

06Z TAFS

MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT TAF SITES INITIALLY...WITH SOME PATCHY
-FZDZ AT KOMA THRU ABOUT 09Z STILL POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE...EXPECTING
MVFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE AT KOFK/KOMA THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY...SCATTERING OUT AT KOFK BY 23Z. KLNK COULD SCATTERED OUT MUCH
SOONER BY 14Z WITH TEMPO MVFR CIGS THROUGH ABOUT 18Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

KERN/DEWALD

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