FXUS63 KOAX 092057
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
257 PM CST WED FEB 9 2011
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
NW UPPR LVL FLOW WILL CONT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...BUT
WITH THE ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE EXITING THE AREA...WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE ON TAP INTO THE WEEKEND. WITH FLOW BECOMING
WESTERLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...SHLD SEE TMPS FALL THIS EVNG IN THE
NW AND THEN START TO WARM TOWARD DAWN. SHLD START OFF WITH A GOOD
DEAL OF SUN ON THURS...BUT HIGH LVL CLOUDS WL LIKELY INCREASE THRU
THE DAY FM NW TO SE. BASICALLY USED 950 MB TMPS AS A STARTING
POINT FOR HIGHS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND THEN MODIFIED FOR
SNOW COVER. WK UPPR LVL SHRTWV TROF WL PASS THRU THE NRN PLAINS ON
THURS NIGHT AND FRI...BUT MUCH OF THE BETTER FORCING AND MOISTURE
WL STAY TO OUR N AND E AND WL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST. A LITTLE
COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE ERN FA ON SAT AND HAVE LOWERED
HIGHS A TOUCH OVER THE WRN IA...BUT TEMPERATURES ARE STILL
EXPECTED TO BE CONSIDERABLY WARMER THAN THIS PAST WEEK AND ABOVE
NORMAL.
.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
TREND TOWARD WARMER TEMPERATURES STILL ON TRACK FOR THE PERIOD AS
MODELS BUILD UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. WARMING MAY BE
TEMPERED AT FIRST DUE TO EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER BUT SUN ANGLE GETTING
HIGH ENOUGH TO PRODUCE GOOD MELTING UNDER FULL SUN AND ABOVE
FREEZING TEMPERATURES. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF WEATHER EXPECTED AS
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY STAYS NORTH AND EAST OF THE AREA. GENERALLY
TRENDED AT OR ABOVE HPC GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS
FORECAST.
FOBERT
&&
.AVIATION...
TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK
18Z TAFS
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. WINDS WILL
SWITCH FROM NWRLY TO SWRLY THIS EVENING...THEN BECOME WRLY BY
MORNING...BUT SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 10KT OR LESS.
MAYES
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$