FXUS63 KOAX 022020
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
320 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2011
.SHORT TERM...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS INTO
CENTRAL NEBRASKA BY FRIDAY MORNING. SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR THE FRONT LATE TONIGHT BUT BETTER FORCING LOCATED FURTHER NORTH
FROM THE DAKOTAS INTO MINNESOTA WHERE MAJORITY OF CONVECTION EXPECTED.
FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN IN THE WARM SECTOR TONIGHT WITH WINDY
CONDITIONS DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA AT
THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD WILL ENCOUNTER A FAIRLY HEALTHY
CAP...THUS NOT EXPECTING MUCH THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY. THIS
FRONT WILL ALSO BE THE DIVIDING LINE BETWEEN COOLER 80S TO THE
NORTH AND MORE HUMID LOWER 90S TO THE SOUTH. FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF
I80 TOMORROW NIGHT...AND WITH THE AID OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...
SHOULD BE THE FOCUS FOR ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME HAIL
POTENTIAL BOTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT. STILL SLIGHT
CHANCES OF LINGERING SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAYTIME
ALONG/NORTH OF THE FRONT BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...BUT THE BETTER
FOCUS APPEARS TO BE NOCTURNAL AT THIS TIME. COOLER NEAR NORMAL
TEMPS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY...BUT WARMING BACK TO THE MID 80S FOR SUNDAY.
.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. COLD FRONT THAT HAD
STALLED IN THE VICINITY OVER THE WEEKEND WILL FINALLY PUSH NORTH
OF THE AREA BY DAYBREAK MONDAY AS RIDGING BUILDS IN ALOFT. THIS WILL
PUT THE REGION BACK INTO THE HOT AND HUMID SECTOR WITH HIGHS
MOVING BACK INTO THE LOWER 90S...BUT WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. A NEW FRONT DOES TRY TO MOVE
INTO NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BY TUESDAY NIGHT THOUGH...AND THEN INTO
THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WHEN PRECIP CHANCE RETURN
TO THE FORECAST.
DEWALD
&&
.HYDROLOGY...ONLY MAJOR CHANGES TO ONGOING MISSOURI RIVER FLOODING
WAS TO INCREASE THE EXPECTED CREST VALUES SLIGHTLY FROM NEBRASKA
CITY TO RULO. UPDATED COE FORECAST CREST LINKS HAVE BEEN POSTED
IN THE THE TOP NEWS OF THE DAY SECTION ON OUR WEB PAGE.
DEWALD
&&
.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. STRONG SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA INTO EARLY FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT
OVER THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS AT 18Z IS FORECAST TO REACH
EASTERN NEBRASKA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE VICINITY KOFK WITH FRONT IN THE AREA 12-18Z.
FOBERT
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$