FXUS63 KOAX 151945
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
245 PM CDT FRI OCT 15 2010
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
FORECAST CONCERNS WILL BE TEMPERATURES AND THE CHANCE OF
SHOWERS MONDAY.
SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO
SHIFT EASTWARD TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
ACROSS THE PLAINS TONIGHT. BY SATURDAY MORNING...THE WIND SHIFT
WILL SWITCH THE SOUTH WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
DURING THE MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA. WITH THE COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH EARLY IN THE DAY...HIGHS IN THE NORTH SHOULD TOP
OUT IN THE 60S...WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ACRS SRN NEB AND SW IA.
THERE IS SOME UVV WITH A WEAK MID LEVEL TROF IN THE WESTERLY
FLOW...HOWEVER THE RH STILL LOOKS QUITE DRY.
SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN SATURDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER H85
RETURN FLOW SETS UP WITH CLOUDS DEVELOPING AND SOME ISOLATED
SHOWERS POSSIBLE BY MONDAY MORNING. MONDAY...THERE IS A BROAD
SHORTWAVE TROF IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW TRACKS ACRS THE NRN PLAINS
INTO NEB AND IA. THERE IS ENOUGH LARGE SCALE FORCING AND RH TO
CONTINUE ISO TO SCT POPS IN THE FORECAST MONDAY...DECREASING IN
THE NORTH BY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES MONDAY SHOULD BE MORE
OCTOBER-LIKE...IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
WL CONTINUE LOW POPS IN THE SOUTH MONDAY NIGHT FOR ANY LINGERING
SHOWER ACTIVITY AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS
THE AREA. DRY AND BENIGN WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD AFTER THAT. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AS
COOLER 850MB TEMPS DROP DOWN WITH SHORTWAVE TROF. STILL HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S WL REMAIN AROUND NORMAL FOR MID OCTOBER. WL SEE A
GRADUAL WARM UP WED THRU FRI WITH FAVORABLE LLVL MIXING AND DRY
AIRMASS.
&&
.AVIATION...
TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK
18Z TAFS
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT TAF SITES THRU THE PD. SFC WINDS WILL
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST CLOSE TO SUNRISE SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT
PUSHES THRU. GUSTY NW-N WINDS TO 25 KTS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE IN THE
PERIOD.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$
ZAPOTOCNY/KERN