FXUS63 KOAX 160721
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
221 AM CDT SAT OCT 16 2010
.DISCUSSION...
SFC COOL FRONT CONTINUES TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST THRU THE DAKOTAS THIS
MORNING AND SHOULD MOVE INTO NWRN COUNTIES OF CWA BY 12Z. STRONG
MIXING AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY HAS KEPT OVERNIGHT TEMPS FAIRLY MILD
IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SFC WINDS SHOULD BE ON THE BREEZY
SIDE TODAY AS THE BOUNDARY PASSES. 3-HR PRESSURE CHANGES ARE
AROUND 5 MB ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS THIS MORNING.
SFC HIGH PRESSURE SKIRTS THE AREA ON SUNDAY ALLOWING RETURN FLOW
TO QUICKLY SET UP. SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPPING OUT OF THE PLAINS
IN NWRLY FLOW WL HELP PUSH YET ANOTHER COOL FRONT THRU THE AREA
SUN NIGHT. MOISTURE CONTINUES TO LOOK RATHER MEAGER SO WL NOT GET
TOO CRAZY WITH POPS. FOR THE MOST PART...HAVE LEFT THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST UNTOUCHED. COOLER 850MB TEMPS DROP SOUTH ON TUESDAY
HOWEVER WAA AND DESCENT MIXING SHOULD KEEP TEMPS AROUND NORMAL
FOR MID TO LATE OCTOBER.
NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED. THE PERIOD LOOKS MOSTLY DRY
WITH A SYSTEM DIGGING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS BY LATE IN THE PERIOD.
WL LET DAY CREW HANDLE ADDITION OF ANY POPS.
&&
.AVIATION...
TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK
06Z TAFS
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE WILL REACH KOFK THIS MRNG AND KOMA/KLNK CLOSER TO
MIDDAY...WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM SRLY TO NWRLY. WINDS JUST BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL BE GUSTY...WITH SPEEDS DIMINISHING AFTER SUNSET.
KEPT WIND SHEAR IN THE TAFS FOR SHEAR POTENTIAL IN THE PREDAWN
HOURS.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$
KERN/MAYES