FXUS63 KOAX 021948
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
248 PM CDT TUE NOV 2 2010
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SURFACE TROUGH MOVING
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAKOTAS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
AS AN STRONG UPPER WAVE MOVES THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA. SOME
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...BUT SCANT LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP THINGS DRY ACROSS THE CWFA. WINDS DO
SWITCH AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT...AND SHOULD
BECOME BREEZY/WINDY THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. BEYOND THEN...A
DEEP TROUGH SETS UP THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY
REGIONS WITH NORTHWEST FLOW PREVAILING FOR THURSDAY/FRIDAY WITH
GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES...ALTHOUGH WESTERN IOWA COULD BE ON THE
WESTERN EDGE OF SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS AS THERMAL TROUGH SETS UP
JUST EAST OF THE CWFA BORDER ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA AND MISSOURI.
SLIGHTLY COOLER ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE
FRONT...THEN MUCH COOLER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH A WEST/EAST
GRADIENT.
.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. EXTENDED PERIODS
CONTINUE TO LOOK DRY. BY FRIDAY NIGHT...AN AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE
AXIS WILL BE MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS ALLOWING 850MB TEMPS TO
WARM INTO THE TEENS IN OUR WESTERN COUNTIES. HAVE BUMPED UP TEMPS
A BIT OVER THE WEEKEND INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S WHICH IS SLIGHTLY
HIGHER THAN MOS GUIDANCE. A WEAK MID LEVEL TROF IS FORECAST TO
PASS OVER THE REGION ON SUNDAY BRINGING A WEAK COLD FRONT ALONG
WITH IT. ONLY EXPECT A CHANGE IN WIND DIRECTION AND PERHAPS A
LITTLE MORE CLOUD COVER WITH THIS PASSAGE. OTHERWISE...EXTENDED
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON BRINGING A WEAK UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE CNTRL CONUS BY EARLY NEXT WORK/SCHOOL WEEK. THIS
WILL CONTINUE THE FAIRLY MILD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THRU THE
EXTENDED PERIOD. A DEEPENING UPPER TROF WILL MOVE INTO THE
COLORADO REGION BY LATE IN THE PERIOD WHICH SHOULD BEGIN TO IMPACT
THE FORECAST AREA BY MID WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION...
TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK
18Z TAFS
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. SRLY TO SWRLY
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL SWITCH TO NWRLY OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH. EXPECT WIND GUSTS TO INCREASE TO AROUND 20-25KT
MID-MORNING TOMORROW.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$
AVIATION...MAYES
SHORT TERM...DEWALD
LONG TERM...KERN