FXUS63 KOAX 200924
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
324 AM CST THU JAN 20 2011
.DISCUSSION...
SNOW CONTINUES TO TAPER OFF ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES WHILE
DRYING/CLEARING MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. SFC HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD EAST ACROSS NEBRASKA AND IS EXPECTED TO BE
CENTERED OVR THE CWA BY 00Z TONIGHT. MID/UPPER LEVEL TROF OVER THE
ERN DAKOTAS WL CONTINUE TO DIVE SOUTHEAST TODAY. THIS WILL PUSH A
WEAK PIECE OF ENERGY INTO OUR FAR NRN COUNTIES AND COULD PRODUCE A
FEW FLURRIES IN OUR EXTREME NORTHEASTERN ZONES. SFC PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS AS WELL AND WITH HEAVIER SNOW PACK ON THE GROUND
IN THE FAR NORTHEAST...WL INCLUDE A MENTION OF BLOWING SNOW THIS
AFTERNOON. IN RECENT DAYS...IT HAS NOT TAKEN MUCH TO GET THE SNOW
BLOWING IN THAT AREA. HAVE GONE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN GUIDANCE FOR
HIGHS TODAY WITH SLUG OF CAA FORCED SOUTH IN ASSOCIATION WITH NRN
PLAINS SHORTWAVE.
OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD OCCUR EARLY TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
MOVES INTO CNTRL IA BY 06Z. STRONG LLVL WAA KICKS IN AFTER
MIDNIGHT AHEAD OF NEXT SYSTEM MOVING EAST ACROSS THE REGION. THIS
PIECE OF ENERGY PUSHES SFC LOW INTO CNTRL NEB FRI AFTERNOON AND
NWRLY WINDS SHOULD HELP MIX TEMPS OUT FAIRLY QUICKLY. HAVE HIGHS
FRIDAY IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. MODEL CONSENSUS CONTINUES TO
INDICATE A GOOD CHANCE OF PCPN IN WAA ZONE WITH STRONG ISENTROPIC
UPGLIDE OVER NERN COUNTIES ON FRIDAY. HAVE INCREASED POPS SLIGHTLY
TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.
CDFNT PUSHES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE STRONGER
SHORTWAVE TROF DIGS INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS. STRONG MID LEVEL
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING MOVES OVER THE REGION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT SO
HAVE BEEFED UP POPS ONCE AGAIN. QPF BULLS EYES TAKE AIM AT ERN
NEB/NERN KS ONCE AGAIN.
YET ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES THRU ACTIVE NWRLY FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DID NOT CHANGE MUCH FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST.
&&
.AVIATION...
TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK
06Z TAFS
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THERE IS A SECONDARY FRONT COMING DOWN THAT WILL RESULT IN A
STRONGER NORTHWESTERLY WIND TODAY...WITH GUST POTENTIAL UP TO ABOUT
20-22KTS AT KOFK BY 17Z...AND KOMA BY 18Z.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$
KERN/DEWALD