FXUS63 KOAX 260900
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
300 AM CST WED JAN 26 2011
.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IN THE SHORT
TERM AS UPPER FLOW PATTERN BREAKS DOWN AND BECOMES MORE ZONAL
TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH A NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM
COMPONENT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY BEHIND A WEAK COLD
FRONT BUT THE COLD AIR WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS A WARM FRONT
DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT CLIPPER
OVER CENTRAL CANADA. DAY TO DAY WARMING EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AS
WESTERN RIDGE FLATTENS AND FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. TEMPERATURES
DURING THE PERIOD WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON CLOUD COVER AND
AMOUNT OF MIXING. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES HAVE TRENDED A BIT WARMER
THAN GUIDANCE THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS AND HAVE FOLLOWED THIS TREND
FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THIS FORECAST. BASED ON HPC DISCUSSION
WILL DISREGARD GFS AND ITS COLDER SOLUTION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
AND HANG ON TO THE WARMER TEMPERATURES INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE
EXTENDED THIS WEEKEND.
NO CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED PERIOD OTHERWISE AT THIS TIME...BUT BOTH
THE GFS AND EURO SHOWING SOME PRECIP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
EURO MUCH MORE AMPLIFIED AND COLDER.
&&
.AVIATION...
TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK
06Z TAFS
VARIABLE MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
SOME LOW CLOUDS WITH BASES OF 500 FEET OR LESS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
AT KOMA...ALONG WITH PATCHY FOG INTO MID MORNING. OTHERWISE...EXPECT
NORTH OR NORTHWEST SFC WINDS TO BECOME WEST OR SOUTHWEST BY 00Z.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$
FOBERT/MILLER