Area Forecast Discussion Saturday, March 12, 2011

FXUS63 KOAX 120833
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
233 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY GIVING A
COLL NORTHERLY FLOW TO THE REGION...WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES
THAN YESTERDAY. SOME CIRRUS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...ALTHOUGH LOW
CLOUDS WILL EDGE SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST
IOWA EARLY THIS MORNING. BREEZY THROUGH THE DAY...BUT DEFINITELY
NOT AS WINDY AS YESTERDAY.

ATTENTION TURNS TO THE NEXT WAVE ADVANCING OUT OF THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES ON SUNDAY AND WHETHER THERE/S ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT TO
GENERATE ISOLATED SHOWERS. THE NAM MAINTAINS AN GENERALLY DRY
FORECAST...WITH NORTHEASTERLY DRY FLOW HELPING TO INHIBIT ANY
PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL AT THE SURFACE. GFS/ECMWF/SREF ALL HINT AT
LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES...MAINLY ACROSS
EASTERN NEBRASKA SUNDAY...AND AND ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA SUNDAY
EVENING. IF ANYTHING OCCURS...PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT
WITH ONLY A HUNDREDTH OR TWO.

RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD BOOST TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID/UPPER
50S FOR MONDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS. THE NEXT WAVE MOVES INTO THE
AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY AS ANOTHER FRONT
PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. GFS/ECMWF FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH
SYNOPTIC TRENDS...THUS ISOLATED SHOWERS STILL SEEMS POSSIBLE AS
THE WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. DID CUT TEMPS BACK A BIT ON
TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS CLOUD COVER COULD INHIBIT A MORE
PRONOUNCED WARMUP.

STILL A WELCOME WARMUP INTO THE 60S EXPECTED BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT...ALTHOUGH NOT AS CONFIDENT THAT
TEMPS WILL REACH THE UPPER 60S BUT WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT TAKE
ANOTHER LOOK. COOLER TEMPS ON FRIDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

70

&&

.AVIATION...
TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK

06Z TAFS

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

DEE

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

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