FXUS63 KOAX 140742
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
242 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2011
.DISCUSSION...
PRECIPITATION ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA SHOULD END
BEFORE 6 AM AND BE CONFINED TO NORTHEASTERN KANSAS AND
NORTHWESTERN IOWA...THUS WILL NOT INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST FOR
TODAY FOR THOSE AREAS.
MEANWHILE...A RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD DEVELOP THROUGH THE
DAY...BUT MIXING IS SOMEWHAT POOR ACROSS EXTREME EASTERN NEBRASKA
AND WESTERN IOWA...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE MID 50S
ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AFTER MORNING
CLOUDS BURN OFF.
FOR TONIGHT...THE NEXT WEATHER DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL APPROACH THE AREA WITH INCREASING CLOUDS...BUT OVERALL
PRECIPITATION THREAT WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA UNTIL
TUESDAY...AND THEN ONLY A SMALL CHANCE OF PRECIP WILL EXIST AS THE
FRONT PUSHES EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY.
RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW REDEVELOPS BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY...WITH
SUBSTANTIAL WARMING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S WITH BREEZY
CONDITIONS DEVELOPING...BUT INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
ALSO HELP MITIGATE ANY GRASSLAND FIRE THREATS AS WELL.
THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF FRONTS MOVES INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND
ESPECIALLY ALONG/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80...BUT STILL ONLY A SLIGHT
CHANCE AT THIS POINT. THE FRONT DRIFTS SLOWLY SOUTH ON THURSDAY
WHICH WILL DELINEATE COOLER TEMPS IN THE 50S TO THE NORTH...WITH
WARMER TEMPS STILL IN THE 60S TO THE SOUTH.
70
&&
.AVIATION...
TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK
06Z TAFS
LIGHT WINDS AND INCREASING LLVL MOISTURE SHOULD ALLOW FOR IFR CIGS
TO SETTLE IN AT KOFK BTWN 10Z-17Z...WITH ONLY MVFR VSBY AT KOMA AND
KLNK. OTHERWISE VFR COND WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS REST OF THE
FCST PD.
DEE
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$