Area Forecast Discussion Thursday, March 31, 2011

FXUS63 KOAX 310747
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
247 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2011

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES AND PRECIP TIMING WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY
FORECAST CONCERNS IN THIS FORECAST.

AREA OF LIGHT RAIN WAS LOCATED OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH MID LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE WARM FRONT.
EXPECT THE RAIN TO SPREAD EAST TODAY WITH THE UPPER TROUGH WITH
RAIN ENDING ACROSS THE CWA DURING THE AFTERNOON. HAVE CONTINUED
WITH SOME SMALL POPS FOR TONIGHT AS SPEED MAX TRACKS THROUGH THE
REGION BUT NOT AS CONFIDENT AS THE 00Z GFS AS BETTER FORCING LOOKS
TO BE FURTHER NORTHWEST WHERE SOME WARM ADVECTION INDICATED.
IMPROVING FORECAST BEYOND THURSDAY NIGHT AS UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO
WORK SLOWLY EAST WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE WEEKEND.

MODELS BRING ANOTHER STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM INTO THE REGION EARLY
IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH ANOTHER DRASTIC
TEMPERATURE CHANGE FOR THE AREA. NO CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...

TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK

06Z TAFS

TEMPORARY MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT TAF SITES THROUGH ABOUT
20Z...AND ONLY PREVAILING AT KOFK. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE AT KOFK FROM ABOUT 13Z-17Z...AT KLNK FROM ABOUT
15Z-19Z...AND AT KOMA FROM 16Z-22Z. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL
TAF SITES BEYOND 21Z-22Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOBERT/DEWALD

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