FXUS63 KOAX 070903 CCA
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...COR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
403 AM CDT TUE JUN 7 2011
.DISCUSSION...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
GOING FCST STILL IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE AND ONLY MADE MINOR TWEAKS HERE
AND THERE. PCPN CHANCES STILL REVOLVING AROUND A COLD FRONT DROPPING
INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS THEN STALLING OUT. POTENT VORT MAX WILL LIFT
ACROSS WY/MT THIS AFTERNOON WITH DEEPENING SFC REFLECTION MOVING THRU
THE DAKOTAS. DRY LINE NUDGING EWD TODAY RESULTING IN BULK OF LLVL
MOISTURE ADVECTION UP THRU ERN KS/ERN NEB/IA/MN. SFC LOW MOVES TO THE
WRN GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT WITH ATTENDANT COLD FRONT DROPPING
SOUTH INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS. SW-NE FLOW ALOFT AT THIS POINT ALLOWS
THE FRONTAL BNDRY THEN TO STALL OUT CLOSE TO THE SRN CWA ON
WEDNESDAY. INSOLATION/MOISTURE POOLING AIDS IN DESTABILIZATION WED
AFTN. COMBINATION OF MUCAPES 3500J/KG...0-6KM SHEAR 40-50KT SUGGEST
GOOD POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS...PARTICULARLY OVER SOUTHWEST IOWA.
SFC BOUNDARY REMAINS IN THE VICINITY OF THE SRN CWA ON THURSDAY...
THEN SHIFTS A BIT FATHER SOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT UNDER INFLUENCE OF NEXT
SHORTWAVE TROF CROSSING THRU THE CNTRL PLAINS. THUS WILL MAINTAIN
FOCUS OF POPS OVER THE SRN CWA WED NIGHT THRU THURSDAY NIGHT.
DEE
&&
.AVIATION...
TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK
06Z TAFS
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AT 10 TO 12 KNOTS SHOULD INCREASE TO ABOUT 15 TO 18 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
UP TO 23 TO 27 KNOTS BY 14Z. GUST SHOULD DIMINISH BY 08/00-01Z.
WALDO
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR IAZ090.
&&
$$