FXUS63 KOAX 040833
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
233 AM CST TUE JAN 4 2011
.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWING TWO ERN PAC SYSTEMS...ONE NEAR
ALASKAN GULF AND OTHER OFF CA COAST...WITH AN ANOMALOUS RIDGE OVER
WRN CANADA. MODELS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER
ERN CANADA WILL DIG SWD THRU THE ERN CONUS AND GENERALLY SLOW UP
LARGE SCALE FLOW HEADING INTO THIS WEEKEND. MODEL SOLUTIONS
THOUGH DIVERGING WRT TIMING AFOREMENTIONED WRN RIDGE MOVEMENT
INTO THE NRN PLAINS...GFS/CMC FAST...NAM/ECM SLOW. DIFFERENCES
REFLECTED AMONGST MOS GUIDANCE AS WELL..MAV COOLER/MET WARMER. LOW
CONFIDENCE EITHER WAY AT THIS POINT AND PREFER TO USE BLEND FOR
TEMPS. HAVE HAD TO BUMP UP TEMPS GIVEN BLEND COMES OUT WARMER THAT
PREVIOUS FCST. OTHERWISE WILL MAINTAIN DRY FCST.
DEE
&&
.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT EASTERN NEBRASKA TAF SITES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE SOUTH OF THE AREA
TODAY...WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PLAINS TONIGHT. LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS UNDER 12KTS WILL RESULT...WITH
AN INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED AFTER 06Z.
DERGAN
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$