FXUS63 KOAX 252006
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
306 PM CDT MON JUL 25 2011
.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
LITTLE CHANGE FROM YESTERDAY PROGS...THUS ONLY MODEST TWEAKS MADE TO
THE GOING FCST. PCPN CHANCES STILL REVOLVING AROUND SFC COOL FRONT
DROPPING INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...STALLING OUT...THEN
LIFTING BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. NOT TOO CONFIDENT THAT MODELS
HAVE HANDLE ON HOW SFC BNDRY WILL ACTUALLY MEANDER OVER THE CNTRL
PLAINS. THAT...COUPLED WITH HOW MUCH OF AN INFLUENCE CAPPING COULD BE
PLUS NO REAL SIGNIFICANT 850-250MB DIFFERENTIAL DIVG MAKE PINNING
DOWN POPS DIFFICULT AT BEST. THEREFORE THINK OVERALL LOW END POPS
BEST FIT FOR NOW DURING THE FCST PD. HIGH PRESSURE DOME STILL
ADVERTISED TO RETROGRADE WITH RE-AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE GREAT
PLAINS. EXPECT CWA WILL AGAIN FALL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MOIST WAA
REGIME LATE NEXT WEEKEND WITH RETURN OF HEAT INDICES 100-110 DEG
LOOKING QUITE ATTAINABLE.
DEE
&&
.AVIATION...
TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK
18Z TAFS
OVERALL VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING THRU THE FCST PD. HAVE INCLUDED
MVFR CONDITIONS THOUGH FOR POSSIBLE BR BTWN 09Z-15Z TIME FRAME AT
ALL TERMINALS.
DEWALD
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$